Independence
Final data and tests remain separate from the space where the system selected the candidate.
VALIDATE / EVIDENCE SYSTEM
A strategy should survive an attempt to disprove it.
kquant challenges a candidate on unseen data, changing windows, alternative paths and other assets while accounting for the cost of repeated selection.
EVIDENCE / VERDICTRESILIENT
UNSEEN
HOLDOUTPASSDSR0.93PBO18%
SYSTEM DOMAIN03 / VALIDATE
Challenge the candidate before risk
- DISCOVER
- OPTIMIZE
- VALIDATE
- RUN
- OBSERVE
A result is a record, not a green badge.
The page follows the same order as the application: declare the question, inspect the run, then state what the data cannot prove.
- 01
Independence
Final data and tests remain separate from the space where the system selected the candidate.
- 02
Stability through time
Walk-forward and WFO show whether the process survives changing market windows.
- 03
Cost of search
DSR and PBO raise the confidence threshold when many variants were tested.
- 04
Verdict
PASS, YELLOW, FAIL and INSUFFICIENT DATA describe evidence rather than promise future profit.
Stability through time
Walk-forward and WFO show whether the process survives changing market windows.
Cost of search
DSR and PBO raise the confidence threshold when many variants were tested.
Verdict
PASS, YELLOW, FAIL and INSUFFICIENT DATA describe evidence rather than promise future profit.
DECISION FRAMEWORK
Which independent test could still reject the candidate?
Treat holdout, time stability, multiple-testing correction and stress paths as separate evidence. Agreement matters more than one green metric.
Protect unseen data
Record every trial
Accept FAIL and insufficient data
Validation verdict
Important
Historical, statistical and model results do not promise future returns. kquant provides computational tools and technical execution, but does not assess whether a specific trade is suitable for a user.