VALIDATE / EVIDENCE SYSTEM

A strategy should survive an attempt to disprove it.

kquant challenges a candidate on unseen data, changing windows, alternative paths and other assets while accounting for the cost of repeated selection.

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SYSTEM DOMAIN03 / VALIDATE

Challenge the candidate before risk

DISCOVER
OPTIMIZE
VALIDATE
RUN
OBSERVE

Independence

Final data and tests remain separate from the space where the system selected the candidate.

Stability through time

Walk-forward and WFO show whether the process survives changing market windows.

Cost of search

DSR and PBO raise the confidence threshold when many variants were tested.

Verdict

PASS, YELLOW, FAIL and INSUFFICIENT DATA describe evidence rather than promise future profit.

DECISION FRAMEWORK

Which independent test could still reject the candidate?

Treat holdout, time stability, multiple-testing correction and stress paths as separate evidence. Agreement matters more than one green metric.

Protect unseen data

Record every trial

Accept FAIL and insufficient data

OUTPUT

Validation verdict

Important

Historical, statistical and model results do not promise future returns. kquant provides computational tools and technical execution, but does not assess whether a specific trade is suitable for a user.